European container traffic and port handling 2019-2040



MWP creates an analysis and forecast on the development of European container traffic and port handling in 2019-2040 for a major European terminal operator.
Project content:
Analysis of container handling and hinterland traffic of the major European seaports with all modes of transport.
  • Analysis, modeling of future traffic and forecast 2040.
  • In addition, an overview of activities on the new Silk Road

Deriving the handling volume of selected inland ports from the hinterland traffic, especially the ARA ports.


Container throughput volume and hinterland volume forecasts for the most important European seaports as well as determination of the potential for selected inland ports.

This was preceded by a similar forecast in 2017 for corresponding container traffic with all modes of transport.




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On this page you will find links to pages regularly updated, interesting articles and in general all the info at a glance.


New Silk Road

2017 2018

China is EU´s biggest source of imports, and its second-biggest export market. China and Europe trade on average over 1 bn Euro a day. Since many years the majority of this trade is seaborne trade, travelling e.g. from China via Strait of Malacca and Suez Canal to Europe.

China´s BRI Belt and Road Initiative (also called: New Silk Road) intends to offer alternative routes to Europe; especially for West-China. MWP studied several of these new routes and corridors.

The Trans-Siberian corridor from eastern Russian city of Vladivostok via Moscow to Central and Western Europe is the oldest of the land-based routes. The route via Russia, Belarus and Slovakia to Europe is an established corridor, but relies on Russian railways. 

The southern-most corridor via Iran and Turkey offers an alternative, but gauge changes are necessary on this route, and this corridor travels via political unstable regions. This is why the volumes travelling this corridor are still small. An alternative that has been promoted by European Commission under the headline of TRACECA is the Central Causasus corridor. This corridor does not depend on Russian or Iranian influence. The corridor stretches from China via Central Asia and South Caucasus to Europe. 


Main Transport Corridors:

  • Trans-Siberian

  • Central Caucasus

  • Iran-Turkey Corridor

  • North-South Iran-Russia

  • Maritime Silk Road



MWP frequently studies and calculates all modes of transports (road, rail, intermodal incl. maritime) along all corridors, and based on this worked for several clients.


Interesting new options since few months:

In recent months the new rail link from Iran via Azerbaijan to Russia offers new chances for north-south trades; e.g. via port of Bandar Abbas in Iran to Russia. But also the new BTK rail link from Baku via Tblisi to Kars in Turkey and further onto Europe offers many new transport links. MWP keeps an eye on this!



Benchmarking of port costs in Arabian Gulf

Port costs are neither easy to understand, nor comparable and transparent!


Port costs are not transparent! In reality benchmarking of ports is a complicated task!

MWP was asked to perform a benchmarking study for an oil major serving the Arabian Gulf. First task was to identify relevant ports that can serve vessels up to 2mill bbl (VLCC). Second task was to define products, like crude, LPG, LNG, etc. Third task was to define typical vessels, resp. vessel sizes.


Dozens of fees have been identified, and in total 667 vessel calls have been analyzed.

Fact is that not only the fees are not comparable; in addition there are also various names in the markets for different service components.

And the fees rarely are based on same criteria; i.e. the base for measurement is different.

We analyzed all fees, clustered them and came to the conclusion, that there are 3 different components for all charges/ see graphic.

The 2 major ones are related either to the vessel, or to the product.



After making fees and charges comparable it was interesting to see how huge the difference in port charges are! This was a surprising result!

  Above: ports that have been benchmarked for the study


March 2015

MWP - Dr. Makait - introduces Transport Exchange FREIT-ONE  in Frankfurt as part of an event organized by the Regional Association FrankfurtRhineMain. FREIT-ONE encounters both the railway logistics providers as well as shippers with a good response.



January 2015

MWP - Dr. Makait - in Berlin with the german state secretary Ferlemann and the Belgian Ambassador D'Hoop at the Federal Ministry of Transport in discussions about the development of seaports in the ARA region.



December 2014

Challenging times

The projected growth of the German seaports has continued in 2013.

Overall, the traffic volume of sea ports amounted to 291 million tonnes at the level of the Seas forecast 2030 which was created under the direction of the MWP GmbH for the BMVI.

The DVZ report on this in Dezemberber 2014th.


(Link to article - german)